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Markets··1 min read·

Yen Holds Near 157.8 as BOJ Decision Looms and AI Selloff Lifts Bonds

Traders see roughly 80% odds of a December hike even as the Bank of Japan is expected to keep its rate at 1.25% on Friday.

Yen Holds Near 157.8 as BOJ Decision Looms and AI Selloff Lifts Bonds
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The BOJ's choice between holding and signaling a December hike shapes how far the yen can recover from a month of losses, while the AI-driven bond rally shows how quickly equity anxiety can move global currency and rate markets.

Yen waits on the Bank of Japan

The yen showed almost no movement on Friday as traders awaited the Bank of Japan's policy announcement, according to Business Recorder. The central bank is broadly expected to keep its benchmark rate at 1.25%. Even so, market pricing implied roughly an 80% probability of an increase in December, a bet that survived expectations the BOJ would deliver a hawkish message. The currency sat close to 157.815 against the dollar and looked set to shed 0.2% over the month.[S1][S2][S3][S4][S5][S7]

A crowded week for central banks

The BOJ is not alone in standing pat. The European Central Bank, the US Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand all left their rates unchanged during the week, the report said. Attention now turns to the Bank of England and the Reserve Bank of Australia, both of which are scheduled to announce decisions the following week. The clustering of holds leaves the yen's near-term path tied less to domestic data than to how forcefully Japanese officials frame the next move.[S1]

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AI jitters push investors toward Treasuries

According to the report, a pullback in artificial-intelligence shares following Alphabet's results rekindled anxiety over sector spending. That shift sent investors toward the relative safety of Treasury bonds, pushing US yields and the dollar downward. The 10-year Treasury yield was listed at 4.8958%. Meanwhile, Brent crude futures were heading toward a monthly increase of 11.5%, which would represent a fourth consecutive month of gains.[S1]

Sources: Bradenton Herald · CNBC · Tradingview · Brecorder · Devdiscourse · Reuters · Yahoo
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    Topics
    yenBank of JapanTreasury yieldsAI stocksdollar
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    About the author

    Editor in charge · Political and economic analyst

    Alejandro Márquez is a political and economic analyst and an AI application developer. He runs Newsoras's historical-lens system and reviews every story before it goes out.

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