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Markets··3 min read·

Huntington Cuts Guidance After Fed Hike, Trades at Discount

Regional lender trims 2027 earnings and 2026 net interest income outlook, lifts buyback by $200 million as shares fall 5.8% in a month.

Huntington Cuts Guidance After Fed Hike, Trades at Discount
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Guidance cut and buyback increase

Huntington Bancshares is changing its strategy after the Federal Reserve's most recent rate increase. The bank holding company for The Huntington National Bank lowered its 2027 earnings guidance and reduced its 2026 net interest income growth expectations. At the same time, it raised its 2027 share repurchase target by US$200 million. The company provides commercial, consumer, and mortgage banking services and is listed on Nasdaq under the ticker HBAN.[S1]

Huntington's share price has cooled off recently, slipping 5.8% across the last month and 8.2% since the start of the year. Even so, investors who rode out earlier swings were rewarded: the three-year total shareholder return comes to roughly 74%. Today the bank changes hands far below both analyst price targets and an estimated fair value, so the key question is whether that wide gap signals a buying chance or a cautionary message about risks ahead.[S1]

The undervalued narrative and its risks

Under the most widely tracked narrative, Huntington Bancshares is worth roughly $20.04 a share, well above the recent $16.04 close, which makes the present discount look substantial. Supporting that view requires the bank to keep building larger, repeatable fee-based revenue and to capture cost and revenue benefits from partnerships, all while net interest margin remains under strain. The market's current price seems to treat the reduced 2027 earnings and return goals, plus planned buybacks and dividends, as though the partnership strategy and fee growth might not deliver lasting gains.[S1]

This narrative would unravel if funding costs rise more sharply than anticipated or if partnership integrations keep costs running high for longer than expected. A second valuation approach gives a conflicting read. The SWS DCF model suggests Huntington trades far beneath estimated fair value, yet the earnings multiple tells another story: HBAN sits at 14.4x, above the US Banks industry's 11.7x and the 12.3x peer average, while the fair ratio is even higher at 18.1x. Investors must decide which signal matters more.[S1]

What to watch next

So far, Huntington Bancshares is sending a mixed set of signals. Investors who want to form their own judgment can begin by reviewing its five notable strengths alongside one significant caution. Those who prefer to look past Huntington might explore a curated group of 23 companies with strong balance sheets and fundamentals, examine a targeted screen of 30 high quality undervalued stocks pairing healthy cash flows with attractive prices, or review a selected set of seven dividend fortresses chosen for higher yields and stability.[S1]

Sources: ST · DEView sources
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Topics
Huntington BancsharesFederal ReserveRegional BanksNet Interest IncomeShare Buybacks
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